Two months after the beginning of Donald Trump’s second mandate, the report of relations between Washington and its Latin American neighborhood is still the subject of questions and hypotheses on its position in the hierarchy of the priorities of the new American administration. This is still the case, despite the numerous indicators mentioned in the speech of the presidential section at the end of January and the subsequent steps on the deportation of illegal immigrants, the declaration of war on criminal organizations active in the drug trade and the imposition of a package of further customs duties on goods and goods from Mexico, one of the main commercial members of the United States, do not return the control of the Panama canal and the release of threats to Colombia, Venezuela.
Despite the choice of the senator of the President of the United States Donald Trump Marco Rubio, the most important Latin “Falcon” of Washington, for the position of Foreign Minister, the president of the return has not yet revealed his real intentions, nor the details of his program on what is traditionally described as the “rear garden” of Washington and its deep circle of influence for decades.
The reason for this is that most of the Trump interest of Trump seems to be the achievement of his greatest promise in foreign policy to end the war in Ukraine and subsequently devotion to other main files, which still focus on it without what is on Ukrainian war.
Mexico and Panama only
In the speech in which Trump opened his second presidential mandate, no region or country in the world has not been mentioned except the southern borders of the United States and Panama. However, during his first term, Trump was the first American president in 7 decades without visiting any country in Latin America, with the exception of his participation for a few hours in the “group of twenty verties” hosted by Argentina in 2018. In violating the siege on Cuba and dropping the Maduro regime in Venezuela.
Trump returns to the White House and in his possession of frustration for what he was unable to achieve during the first state of Latin America and shows a mixture of anger and indifference to this region, which, despite his historical strategic importance for the United States, tends to face him in the style of protection, dependence and security capacity on it, not in the matter of common interest and by his political and social establishment.
It is not highlighted by his superior vision of this region and by the concern that the tortuous “narrow circle” which supported his arrival at the White House from his executive decision issued days after sitting in the oval office to announce “English” is the only official language in the United States. Therefore, it has ignored that Spanish is the mother tongue of over 45 million of its residents and that it is widespread not only in the main cities such as Los Angeles, Miami and New York, but also in American depth and vast agricultural areas.
As a reminder, in 1823, the American president (then) launched James Monroe in a speech at the congress, his famous slogan “America for Americans”. One of the oldest American foreign policies that has become known as “Monroe Charter”, which was practically a direct warning to the main European countries (then) was not built in order not to interfere in the affairs of the American continent, after “Roshah” took place in the independence of the Latin American countries from the royal regimes in Spain, France and Portogue.
However, this doctrine, on which “a pause of solidarity” appeared with the countries of the armed region of its independence after long and destructive wars with colonial powers, quickly transformed into an expansionist policy to protect the economic interests of Washington and a tool for political, military and economic intervention in the affairs of neighboring countries.
In fact, Washington did not hesitate to consider any European attempt to interfere in the affairs of the region’s countries as an attack on American interests and confirm that Washington will defend American “sovereignty”.
Between yesterday and today
The implementation of this policy was not easy in that period; Because the United States at that time were not the great power we know today, but rather a weak country limited to its eastern coast less than 50 years after its independence. But that the “law” remained rooted as one of the foundations on American foreign policy and its practical manifestations began to appear at the end of the nineteenth century and reading the twentieth century. The Russian missile crisis in Cuba continued to his most dangerous chapters “, which has put the world on the verge of a nuclear clash.
Although the “Monroe law” is no longer applicable today as in the past, it has established over decades in the American political mentality towards neighboring countries and has transformed itself into the main concern of these countries in their relationships with Washington, which is still playing a very effective role in the policies of these countries.
On the other hand, after “the law” was the basis for Washington’s policy and its harvest for the use of military power in order to prevent the expansion of European countries to its previous colonies, the United States find themselves today in the face of a different challenge that threatens its economic and strategic interests in the region.
Challenge Chinese penetration in his garden on the back, which threatens its historic economic domain on its regional neighborhood. What increases the seriousness of this challenge is that it coincides with the beginning of the decline of American domination, the decline of European flu and the increase in self -confidence in emerging economic forces.
The Chinese giant
For many years, the Americans have not spared the danger of a slow Chinese penetration – often from the limelight – in Latin America and Beijing transforms a commercial and investment partner into vital structures.
But in the last five years, alone, China has signed wide agreements for strategic partnership with Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Ecuador, Mexico, Peru and Venezuela. Since 2017, since 2017, the first commercial partner of the countries of the region has become at the level of exports, after the trade between the two parts they recorded 30 percent of that year.
In parallel, the total Chinese investment in Latin America at the end of last year was 241 billion dollars. The Chinese president that Jinping has recently announced that the investments of his country in the region will double in the next five years, since the Chinese direct investment rate in Latin America will exceed the growth rate of US and European investments.
From Trump’s return to the White House, Chinese officials have reported on several occasions that Latin America has a strategic importance for the growth of the Chinese economy and that the obligations of the Chinese government towards the countries of the region are long -term obligations. This question was expressed only once in the forum that brings together China, the Latin America countries and the Caribbean basin, which was one of the decisions of its last session held in Chile, establishing a five -year work plan and creating a maritime transport line on a regional extension of the “Silk Road” project.
After all Chinese investments were in the past, focusing on infrastructure and mineral extraction in Latin America, the attention has shifted to the manufacturing sectors. What now increases the strategic concerns of Washington, that China’s desire to establish an alternative force in the world order has not faced voices in Latin America.
Trump returns and in his possession of frustration for what he was unable to obtain during the first state of Latin America
No export of political and economic models
Another fundamental question that makes Latin America countries more open to cooperation with China in its bilateral and multilateral relationships is that Beijing shows no interest in exporting its political, economic or social model in these countries, as happens with the United States or the European Union.
The truth is that these countries refuse, in various ways, western criticisms of their economic and social models and is a violation of their sovereignty. This is only once in the direction of Latin American countries, a traditional ally of the United States, caused the preference of cooperation with China at the expense of its relations with Washington.
There is no doubt This This Reality Prompted The New American Administration To A FundaMental Change in Its Style of Dealing With The Latin American Neighboring Countries, Such As the Threat of Regaining Control of the Panama Channel, and the Use of Military Force IF REMARY, OR FORCED DEPORTATION OF IMMERGRANE IMMIGRANTS TO TO Colombia and Venezuela, OR Excluding Others to Ecuador and El Salvador, and exceeding the Judicial Rulings That Preventd This, or Pushing Mexico – Under the Threat by imposing a significant increase in customs duties – to deploy their armed forces along the common border to prevent the infiltration of grocery bands in the United States … To send private American forces to pursue these gangs if the government of Mexico refers to respond.
