Russia shows no desire for peace

The United States announced, on Tuesday, to have obtained initial approval from Russia and Ukraine on a potential ceased in the Black Sea, during separate negotiations with US officials in Saudi Arabia.

Although Moscow and Kiev have exchanged attempt to counter the agreement, the practical details of its implementation are not yet clear.

Below is what we know about the truce proposed in the Black Sea:

What has been announced

The White House announced, on Tuesday, that Russia and Ukraine have agreed to “guarantee navigation safety, abandon the use of strength and prevent the use of commercial ships for military purposes in the Black Sea”. Ukraine confirmed this agreement and said that she wanted to obtain “details” on its implementation from the United States. Russia confirmed it for his part, but said that he would only join him when the sanctions aim for his agricultural exports are revoked.

It was not yet known as the date for this truce proposed to enter into force; Washington did not take specific dates.

For his part, Ukrainian President Folodimir Zellinski said he believed that the agreement entered into force as soon as the United States announced it on Tuesday. But the Kremlin insisted on the pre -enter for the conditions it has established.

What is the situation in the Black Sea?

Ukraine, which is not a naval force, unlike Russia, has reached successes in the sea in the last three years and its attacks have been inflicted on drones and missiles, heavy losses in Russian warships that forced him to remain in the Eastern Black Sea.

In April 2022, Ukrainian forces flooded the cruiser Moskva, the pride of the Russian Fleet of the Black Sea; What is a degrading arrest trip for Moscow.

After almost destroying the Ukrainian fleet almost completely, the real naval battles in the Black Sea did not occur during the war. But Ukraine is able to attack Russian ships and ports with marine marine. For its part, Russia is bombing Ukrainian ports from the air, in particular the port of Odessa.

Ukraine warned, Tuesday, that would have prepared the movement of Russian ships beyond the eastern part of the sea in violation of the agreement.

The failure of the wheat agreement

Russia and Ukraine were two parts in an agreement that lasted from July 2022 to July 2023 and allowed Ukraine to continue exporting cereals through the Black Sea without its cargo ships being attacked.

But Russia retired from the agreement reached by Türkiye and the Auspici of the United Nations, due to the lack of respect for another agreement aimed at guaranteeing Russian exports of fertilizers and agricultural products despite the penalties.

Since then, Ukraine has started to export through the naval road that runs along the European countries of the Black Sea such as Romania and Bulgaria, a longer road, but is far from the goal of Russian War Ships.

Russia and Ukraine are among the largest wheat exporters in the world and are necessary for many countries of Africa and Asia in particular.

From the end of the wheat agreement, Russia has repeatedly attacked the port structures of Odessa and which is located on the Danube, which is another way to transport the Ukrainian pills abroad.

Ukraine hopes that the truce will end these attacks. “For us, the truce in the sea means the end of the bombing of the Ukrainian infrastructure,” the Ukrainian naval spokesman, Dmitro Planguk said this week.

What does Russia want?

For its part, Russia hopes to relieve western restrictions imposed on the “Rosle Cozbank” bank owned by the state and other Russian financial institutions relating to food and fertilizers.

In his declaration, the United States have said that he will help “restore the ability of Russia to reach the global market for exports and agricultural fertilizers” and will improve “access to ports and payment systems for these transactions”.

The Kremlin also claimed to have requested the end of the restrictions imposed on “trade financing transactions” and “handcrafted services and penalties on ships that raise the Russian flag and participating in the food trade … and fertilizers.

But on a military level, the armistice in the Black Sea will contribute only to the end of military attacks on a wider scale.

On the military side, the Black Sea initiative appears “insignificant” because there are no battles, as confirmed by the Russian analyst Sergey Markov.

Therefore, Markov says that it is everything to demonstrate that the president of the United States Donald Trump is marking “successes” in his efforts to end the war, even if he is very limited.