A Possible decrease In price diesel And Ethanol Expectations were born in the Barra Market. This is because the The price of the first, which is practiced by Petrobras, is higher than the reference values in the international market, and it is able to decrease, according to the representatives of the Lula administration. The view of this group is that a liter of fuel is sold in the national region at a level of up to $ 0.40 USD.
Therefore, the analysis of economists and representatives of the paragraph sector indicates that although the scenario is not certain, there is a real opportunity to relief for consumers. However, several factors can affect price behavior at gas stations.
Diesel: Dependence on the International Market and Petrobras
Diesel, which is a decisive fuel for transporting goods and generating energy in Brazil, is of high importance in the Barra economy, where Land transport It is important to reach products from other regions.
According to the economists Clear Morao, a Diesel prices reduce a direct impact on the transportation cost Thus, at the price of various products, such as Food and industrial goods.
Fuel function in Pelim. (Photo: Thiago Gomez)
No Entanto, to Petrobras, from 2023Follow a Price policy aims to reduce fluctuations and prevent sudden increases in bombs. S. The federal government pressed a possible reduction of $ 0.40 per literSomething, according to representatives of the sector, will only happen with the intervention of the company’s price policy, which has not yet been unanimous.
Pietro Gasparetto, Legal Adviser to Para SindicOMPIEFSIt indicates that any change depends on Petrobras policy, but also on the behavior of distributors.
“If Petrobras reduces the price, this does not necessarily mean that distributors will also pass this discount to publications,” he says.
In addition, it stresses that the drafting of prices depends on a number of factors, such as competition in the local market and the cost of corporate costs.
Ethanol: an applicable alternative?
Another fuel can have differences in price is ethanol. In Barra Ethanol production is still smallBut the possibility of low biofuel prices can make it a more attractive alternative to gasoline.
Gilhery Minsen, Director FAEPA Agriculture and livestock Federation (FAEPA)He confirms that the low price of ethanol in the south of Brazil, with the arrival New sugar cane cropBARA reactions can be generated, especially with increased supply.
Dynamics between gasoline and ethanol are also important to understand this market. According to the economists, Nelio Bordlo Felho, it becomes ethanol Useful when its price is less than 70 % of the gasoline valueWhich can occur, especially after the crop.
When the price of ethanol decreases, it tends to become a more useful option for drivers, Reducing the demand for gasoline Thus, Click on petroleum fuel prices.
In addition, according to the economist, the presence of ethanol in the formation of gasoline is currently 27 %It can affect a Decrease in gasoline pricesIf the price of ethanol decreases significantly.
Archeology on the cost of living and Barra economy
Reducing the price of diesel and ethanol not only brings consumer relief, but also to the sectors that depend on this fuel, such as Land transport and industry.
Genardo Oliveira, an economist at Barra, says that decreased diesel prices can Reducing the costs of logistics servicesIt affects positively Economic inflationEspecially in the category of “transport”. This effect can allow Flexibility of interest rates by the central bankMotivating consumption and investment.
For Para, a country with an economy that strongly depends on the transportation of goods from other regions, a decrease in the price of diesel may represent a significant decrease in the basic product costs.
“If the diesel falls, the cost of charging between the states can decrease, which makes these products more expensive for Pará consumers,” says Nelio Bordalo Fileho.
Consumer expectation
Although analyzes indicate the possibility of decreased diesel and ethanol prices, consumers are still waiting to see the real effects on bombs.
Alessandro Alves, a military man and a consumer in Belim, said he had not yet noticed any difference in prices, but he stressed that the low price of ethanol will make him choose biofuels. “Any decrease in diesel and ethanol, Brazil, thank you,” he added.
Alessandro Alves. (Photo: Thiago Gomez)
On the other hand, the retired Manuel Santos has already started changing gasoline for ethanol due to the price of gasoline. “The potential reduction in the price of diesel can affect transportation prices and supermarkets. Diesel is involved in the middle of everything, so any good reduction will be,” he said.
Manuel Santos. (Photo: Thiago Gomez)
The future of the fuel market in Para
According to the economists in Barra, despite the pressure on the low price, the possibility of reducing fuel in Barra depends on a number of factors, from Petrobras Interior Policy until Difficulty international prices and local market dynamics.
According to them, the current moment requires caution, since then The inability to predict the fuel market is still a challengeEach consumers and productive sectors.
Although the possibilities of low prices are promising, especially for ethanol due to the sugar cane crop, the real price reduction may take some time to think about bombs, depending on Distributors decisions and government policies.
However, what is expected is that this possible reduction brings relief to consumers and a positive impact on the prices of basic goods in Barra.
