“There will be stagnation.” Pardon, “there will be no stagnation.” The expected Goldman changes in 73 minutes

Making predictions about the economy and the market is never an easy task. But below Donald Trump It has become almost impossible.

That my analyst Goldman Sachs. On a day when reports reached old email boxes and reported before broadcasting with Trump’s tariff, the bank did what could be the fastest change in history.

After gradually increasing its expectations for stagnation in the United States throughout the week with the tariff war, Goldman issued a report on the afternoon that put a decrease in US gross domestic product as a basic staff.

It was 12:57 in New York time.

The bank’s strategists wrote: “We hope that the effective rate of the United States’ tariff will increase 20 points and see the possibility of recession by 65 %,” the bank’s strategists wrote.

“We think it is low in the opportunity to reflect the White House quickly definitions (Laughs nervous)But if the possibility of stagnation does. “

Just twenty minutes before the American president reached the social truth to summon a 90 -day truce for most countries, although the ruler of China has increased, at 125 % compared to 104 % for the country’s products. Ops.

Exactly 73 minutes after, email down.

“We are now returning to the previous non -street scenario, which expected 0.5 % growth in GDP in 2025, a maximum PCE inflation rate, a maximum of 3.5 %, and the possibility of recession by 45 % and three consecutive discounts of 25 points in the Federal Reserve in June, July and September,“ analysts were extended 14:10 (Brazilia).

I have now left to find out the amount of expectations now – Trump’s humor – will continue.

((Note: Journalists who had to ignore countless lines throughout the week, are strategic experts in Goldman!))