The four nations of China, Russia, Iran and North Korea have joined their strength to contrast western sanctions and undermine the interests of the United States.
China, Russia, Iran y North Korea They joined in the form of a new axis known by western officials like Cragment (Crinc/Trinc). A juxtaposition of the names of the countries in English.
The axis emerged from the heart of the Ukrainian war and is a flexible coalition formed around a shared hatred towards the world order directed by the United States. According to the “Wall Street Journal”, the Cooperation between the members of the coalition has been constantly in -depthSince the four countries have exchanged food, oil, weapons, diplomatic support and military aid and are trying to remain out of the reach of western sanctions.
Now, the determination of the President of the United States, Donald Trump, to end the war in Ukraine, marks an important moment for the coalition. If you can establish the fire between the partiesThe relationships between the four countries could become more tense.
“Market of common dictators”
However, according to John Park, the main researcher of the Center for American Studies the Atlantic Council, the lack of success of Trump in this sector, together with the increase in American pressure on Iran and ChinaYou can inadvertently deepen this “market of common dictators”.
Cooperation between these four countries is not a new problem. Russia and Iran joined to support the Government of Assad in Syriay China The main one has also been a long time Sponsor of North Korea. In addition, the relationships between Beijing and Moscow have increasingly deepened in recent years. However, the war multiplied the depth of these relationships and approached the four countries more than ever.
The need for war team has become Moscow in the center of the coalition. The country has resorted to Chinese companies to obtain essential products to produce the necessary armament in the Ukrainian war.
North Korea, which has been subject to international sanctions for a long time, He sent large quantities of ammunition and more than 12,000 soldiers in Russia. Ukraine announced last month that half of the ammunition of Russia now come from North Korea. This support has helped Russia to largely expel Ukrainian troops in the Kursk region. To the extent that Pionyang has recently maintained more relations with Moscow in the diplomatic field than with Beijing.
Iran, in turn, provided vital assistance to Russia in war in providing experience in the field of dronesAlthough the use of drones has a crucial role in this war. Tehran is accused of having sent his witnesses to Russia and, moreover, to provide Moscow plans and technical assistance so that Russia can increase the national production of its pilot -free planes.
Military cooperation was also accompanied by economic ties. Excluded from western markets, Russia has transferred most of its energy exports to China. On the contrary, Beijing – which does not support western sanctions against Moscow – has increased the exports of consumer goods that Russia no longer receives from the West.
While the economies of these four countries approach, China and Russia more and more use their national currencies in commercial exchangesavoiding the US dollar. The use of the dollar makes them more vulnerable to sanctions, while both countries have the ambition to increase the influence of their coins in world trade.
In exchange for military support, Russia has been receptive to thousands of North Korean workers who get valuable currencies and send them to the Pionyang regime. Moscow also sent technicians to support the North Korean espionage satellite programAccording to South Korean officials. In addition, Russia has increased illegal oil exports to North Korea.
China, like the second largest economy in the world, is the economic pillar of the coalition and plays a vital role in its continuity. As an important energy importer, China is one of the most important markets for oil and gas in Iran and Russia and about 90 percent of Iranian oil exports is sent to China.
Also China RPresents over 98% of the official trade in North Korea with the world And, as such, it exercises a remarkable influence on Pionyang. Christopher S. “Without China, this coalition would weaken”, says Chivis, an American national intelligence official for Europe.
What impact will the fire in Ukraine be in this unwritten coalition?
The end of the war in Ukraine could weaken that coalition. It is possible that Russia has difficulty improving their relationships with Europewhich would reduce its dependence on China. On the other hand, China – which, unlike the other three countries, is very integrated in the world commercial system – can conclude that support for the coalition does not deserve to jeopardize its relations with the West.
If Moscow retires from the conversations on the high heat, Trump has already threatened to impose multiple penalties and rates for Russia. Washington also resumed his “maximum pressure” campaign against Tehran, threatening to take military actions if he cannot stop Iran’s nuclear program. The relationships between the United States and China are also tense, since Trump has recently imposed rates on Chinese imports for a value of billions of dollars.
ADVERTISINGChristopher Chivis also commented: “What we owe Avoid is a scenario in which these countries extend cooperation In addition to what we have seen in recent years, “he says.
