Users of social networks affirm him Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania They spoke against a high fire in the Russian war in Ukraine since then The conversations to obtain temporary cessation are stagnant.
A post in X states that the countries “fear” that a “unbeaten” Russian army invades them once a fire is reached in Ukraine. Another says that the Baltic countries believe that a high fire would give Moscow the time to rearm and Dirigi your attention to your borders with NATO. Some share images that seem to show Russian forces that move towards Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania. But the spirit of many of these messages floats, from the inclusion of deceptive statements or lacking shades to the most absolute falsehood.
The origin of the distorted declarations seems to be a relationship published by “Financial times‘At the end of March, in which it was stated that the Baltic Defense Ministers had warned that a high fire in Ukraine would drastically increase the threat to the safety of their countries. Minister of Defense of Estonia, Have pevkurHe would have declared the “FT” that when the war in Ukraine ended up, Russia will quickly redistribute its strength, which will increase threat levels.
His statements occurred after his Lithuanian counterpart, Dovilė ŠakalienėHe made similar observations. “We don’t get illusions. We don’t think Russia will stop after Ukraine,” he said. “Russia will take advantage of the time after the high fire to accelerate their military skills. They already have a huge, trained for the battlefield, which will grow even more.”
Although the United States have mediated the conversations between Ukraine and Russia, the negotiations seem to have remained stagnated. Kiev agreed to stop hostilities in the Black Sea and a 30 -day high fire supported by the Trump Administration. But Moscow has only agreed to stop attacking the energy infrastructure and claims that it will accept only the Black Sea agreement If the western economic sanctions increase.
Pevkur declared to the “FT” that of the 600,000 Russian soldiers who are calculated that currently exists in Ukraine, 300,000 would probably be In case of high the fire. “These men will not return to different parts of Russia to collect corn or do anything else, because Salary Which are receiving in the army is like five-10 times more than they can get in their hometown, “he said.
According to the “FT”, the large -scale military exercise is particularly worrying known as WestThat Russia and Belarus are realizing every four years to simulate a conflict with NATO countries. It is expected that it will be repeated this year.
Both Pevkur and Šakalienė have also asked Nannan troops In their countries after the war, as a way to dissuade Russia to attack again. “We cannot endanger the safety of the Eastern side of NATO,” said Pevkur, according to the article by FT. “We cannot fall into the trap that our forces are somehow fixed in Ukraine. So we will have risks on our border.”
Therefore, it is true that the Baltic are worried about what a fire in Ukraine would mean for them, but it is wrong to say that they are contrary to the cessation of the fighting.
The official posture of the Baltic states
The spokesperson for the ministries of foreign affairs of Estonia and Latvia have declared “Eurovenerify” Their countries are totally engaged in the high fire In Ukraine. “These statements on social networks are false,” said the spokesman for the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Estonia. “Estonia supports the efforts to achieve the right and lasting peace in Ukraine. A fair peace is based on international law, including the principles of territorial integrity and sovereignty. A fair peace also means that the crimes are punished and the damage is compensated.”
European leaders accuse Russia of imposing new previous conditions to reach a high fire and the Russian president, Vladimir PutinTo ask the presentation of Ukraine and a fundamental renovation of European security. “Russia must stop attacking the civil and energy infrastructures of Ukraine and satisfying the conditions of the upper fire, which also guarantee the safe step of the merchant ships through the Black Sea”, adds the spokesperson of the east. “Until now, Russia has not shown any desire to satisfy these conditions. On the contrary, the objectives and methods of Russia have not changed, since they have not changed Attacks against infrastructure and the civilian population continue of Ukraine “.
Likewise, a spokesman for the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Latvia has assured that his country is looking for peace. “We all want a peace that is right, complete and lasting,” he told “Eurovereify”. “The only country we don’t see that it is prepared for peace is Russia (…) All his axes (The politician, the economy, the military, the religion, the media, the private sector) They are oriented towards war. We don’t see a single indicator that are moving towards peace. “
“Latvia’s security is closely linked to the struggle of Ukraine for independence,” he added. “Therefore, in 2024, Latvia and their people continued to provide military, political, financial and humanitarian support of Ukraine. Latvia – and the Baltic states in general – are among the greatest supporters of Ukraine in proportion to the GDP.” The Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Lithuania did not respond to our request for comments.