The possible scenarios for the presidency of Poland who draws the second electoral round

Rifle Trzaskowski and Karol Nawrockithat the position of President of the Republic of Poland is contested In the second round of the Polish electionsrepresent a universe of completely different valuesThe expert of Team Europe Direct, Malgorzata Moleda-Zdziech, says in an interview with “Euronews”. “The difference of less than two percentage points is very small and everything will be decided in this second round. And both scenarios are likely.” The prerogatives of the President in Poland Yes, in fact, its position is reduced are i International Relations and the Defense.

Escanio I: Rafal Trzaskowski

The sociologist and politicalologist highlights the experience of Rafal Trzowski in International politics: “He began to be interested in politics by helping in political campaigns. He was Jacek Saryusz-Wolski’s assistant,” he lists. “Later, he himself was a deputy to the European Parliament. Thanks also to his knowledge of languages, he did it Direct contacts With politicians, who is very important in the international scene, “says Moleda-Zdziech.

According to the expert, Rafal Trzowski’s presidency would lead to a greater strengthening of the position of Poland in the European Union. “It would also build the image of an open Poland, which wants to cooperate, that dialogue, which includes that in the decisions of the European Union they are taken on the basis of the principle of commitment”.

According to Moldziech, if Trzaskowski had come to the presidency, he would have worked on the basis of the new Nancy cooperation treaty with France. Among other things, it foresees Mutual security guarantees for Poland and FranceIt includes a military support clause in case of attack on one of the two countries and also covers cooperation in the defense industry, in the economy, agriculture and science. Until now, France has contracted such commitment Germany. “Here is the Weimar Triangle And the partners, that is France, Germany and Poland, would be very active. “

The head of the Department of Political Studies of the Faculty of Economic and Social Sciences believes that, due to his long work as Mayor of Warsaw, Trzowski participates in various networks, including C40 Cites. “This is an association of city and an association of mayors, mayors of cities to build a sustainable world. It also provides a Basis for establishing relationships On the net, it provides a base to be recognized “, explains Moleda-Zdziech.

The SHG teacher reveals that Trzowski maintains a good relationship with the mayor of Paris, Anne Hidalgo. “Because of their linguistic knowledge, they also like them, because they can speak directly, without interpreter. And these are important partners for cooperation. Because ours Cooperación It is not limited only to economic cooperation, which is important, but also to political cooperation, to cooperation within the framework of this energy transition. We foresee the decision to choose a partner for the construction of nuclear energy. “

Trzowski and Nawrocki now fight for the votes of the nationalist partieswhich obtained over 20% of the votes in the first round. They want to oppose the entrance of Ukraine in the European Union and NATO. How should the new president behave? “Poland is interested in establishing good relations with Ukraine,” explains the expert. “We should have with our neighbors Good relations And this is where we should also start operating in a larger group and that larger group is the European Union“However, due to the strong position of Russia, the expert of the Team Europe Direct network believes that” it is not time to decide the future of Ukraine, because rather we are interested in supporting it. “

Escape II: Karol Nawrocki

“If Karol Nawrocki came to the presidency, I think there would be a Enormous revolution in the field of international relations“Says Dr. Malgorzata Moldin-Zdziech.

“Las declarations of the campaign by Karol Nawrocki are full of false declarations on the European Union“, Explains the sociologist and political scientist.” Among other things, the conference against the monument to Witos, only 15 minutes long, contained a lot of disinformation on the agreement with Mercosur, the association of cities and peoples C40, of which Warsaw is a member. This also shows that this European Union, its image, since it is now distorted in a certain sense, it would obviously not be the first reference in international relationships or relationships. “

The expert also attracts attention to RElacie transatlantic. “The visit during the countryside in the United States, the Photo with Trump It shows where it would be the emphasis and the accent on the type of cooperation. And in the times when we live precisely, this Trump policy is completely unpredictable and all experts underline that we must have good relationships with our neighbors. Since we are members of the European Union for 20 years, rather It would be necessary to emphasize the European Union“.

“On the other hand, this unpredictability From the policy of Karol Nawrocki, it is also based on the fact that it also awakens negative feelings and builds or raises this drum of negative stereotypes in relation, for example, to immigrants, mainly Ukrainians. If we look at the economic data, exactly those who remain in Poland, after all, they work. The data say that between 60 and 90% work, they have their own activities, which means that they also build our prosperity. Pay taxes. They do not suppose any threat to us, for Polish women and men. “

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“Karol Nawrocki is once again a civic candidate, but always thanking the law and justice for their support. So we can see how cooperation was during the eight years of the government of law and justice, in which associations were therefore created. Vishegrad groupFor example, which are the small states of our part of Europe: Hungary, Slovakia, Czech Republic. “The expert also mentions cooperation in the framework of Initiative of the three seas. “These are very few formats of concrete cooperation, rather contemplated and which work in theory rather than in practice,” he concludes.

Warsaw will host two parallel gears on Sunday

At noon of Domingo May 25, Two gears will visit the streets of Warsaw: one in support of Trzowski and another of Nawrocki’s supporters. The one organized by the civic coalition of Prime Minister Donald Tusk is a direct reference to March 4, 2023, before the law and justice lost the autumn parliamentary elections. The marches Pass in parallel and should not convergeBut both take place in the center of the capital.